How we track every alert

The short version

• Every alert counts

  A nightly job reads our Slack channels and records each alert, repeats and misses included. We don’t choose which ones appear.

• The max is a best price

  It’s the highest price reached after the alert, either posted in Slack or traded in the market.

• It isn’t a profit

  Nobody sells every trade at its high. These numbers measure the alerts, not any account’s results.

Where each max comes from

Each track record is built a little differently, because each kind of alert gets different updates.

How market data is used

• The window. For lottos, it runs from the first full minute after the alert to 4:15 PM ET on the expiration day, in 1-minute bars. Swing trades and LEAPS use daily prices, from the day after the alert to expiration.
• The sources. Yahoo Finance is checked each night. Where Yahoo has no data, which is true of older alerts and some strikes, we use OPRA data from Databento. OPRA is the consolidated feed of US options trades.
• Weekly strangles. A strangle is one trade, so its market value is both legs added together at the same minute, not each leg’s own high. A leg’s last trade counts for up to 30 minutes, so an old price can’t inflate the total.
• Nothing is final early. A stock lotto or daily strangle leg stays open until its expiration day’s close, and it’s left out of the stats and off the list until then. Swing trades and LEAPS are listed once they expire or trade at their stop, and their max can still rise until expiration.
• A high only rises. On stock lottos, daily strangles, swing trades and LEAPS, a later run can raise a market high but never lower it.

How we test it

• Against posted results. We compared market highs with the posted results on 748 index lottos. 92% were within 10% of the posted high, and the median difference was zero (November 2026).
• Posted results set aside. 15 posted index lotto results were higher than any trade after the alert, so those alerts show the market high instead.
• Typos corrected. 17 alerts went out with a typo, such as the wrong strike or a missing call or put. The record shows the contract that was meant, with a note on what was posted.
• Alerts left off. 7 alerts aren’t in the record, because the contract or price posted didn’t add up and we couldn’t confirm what was meant.

What these numbers don’t show

• What anyone made. There are no fills, commissions or slippage here. A member who sold before the high, or held past it, got a different result.
• How far most alerts ran. “Profitable” counts any rise above the alert price, even a cent. Of the 6,302 alerts that rose, 274 rose less than 10%.
• A typical result. A few large winners pull the averages up, so the median is a better guide than the average.
• A market check on everything. Daily strangle legs and stock lottos with a posted price from before November 2, 2026, and weekly strangles with a posted price, rest on what we posted at the time. Those haven’t been run against market data.

Check it yourself

Every row on the track record lists the contract, the alert date, the alert price and the max. Most brokers’ platforms can chart an option’s past prices, so you can compare any row you like. If one looks wrong, tell us and we’ll check it.